Is the weather getting weirder?
Your answer probably depends on the weirdness of the weather
you’ve been experiencing lately.
For example, after the U.K. got doused with one of its rainiest weeks on record,
the Brits who reported experiencing flooding
were much more likely than their drier compatriots to
say they’d noticed wetter and wetter weather over the course of their lives.
And before a withering drought struck the AmericanMidwest in 2012,
only 41% of residents thought
they detected a long-term uptick in the frequency and intensity of dry spells.
But after that one dessicating summer,
66% said they’d been seeingworsening droughts for decades.
Rain or shine, our minds tend to prize their freshest impressions.
But even when we experience the same weird weather events as other people,
we don’t always agree on how weird they actually were.
They have more than 4000 media logical stations
tell us that the winter of 2012 was the third-warmest on record in the U.S.
But according to the American who live through it
well, those who thought of global climate change as a
serious, man-made threat were significantly more likely to report that their local winter
weather had been warmer than usual. Even after adjusting for beliefs about global warming,
there was a political divide, with Democrats more likely than Republicans to rate the winter
as unusually toasty
Clouding the issue further, these days we get less of our weather information first-hand
and more from the media, where different channels compete for our attention by mentioning “extreme
weather” far more often than they used to and spicing up not-so-apocalyptic events with
terms like ‘polar vortex’ and ‘snowmaggedon.’ The Weather Channel has even co-opted the
World Meteorological Organization’s practice of naming destructive tropical storms by christening
every biggish snowstorm that trundles over North America.
With so many sources of information, it’s easy for us to choose the ones that align
不论哪种更宏大的世界观都是很容易的 总而言之 我们听到得很多
with our broader worldviews, no matter what they are. As a result, much of what we hear
about the frequency of extreme weather can end up reinforcing whatever we already believe,
rather than giving us new information about what’s really going on.
So, did this video tell you what you wanted to hear？