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比特币飙升至创纪录的估值——但会持续吗?

Bitcoin Soars To Record Valuation--But Will It Last?

随着比特币价值暴涨 再创记录
As Bitcoin continues its surge of record valuation,
人们不同的看法依旧是关于
mixed opinions remain about
比特币是否会成为下一代货币
whether this is really the next big thing
还是只是昙花一现
or just a fluke waiting to implode.
因此投资比特币可能会是明智之举或者是一场灾难
Getting a piece of the action could be fiscal genius or disaster.
以下是为什么这至关重要的原因
Here’s why this matters.
自今年年初开始
Bitcoin has seen a 1,000 % growth
比特币价值暴涨10倍
since the start of the year,
这是前所未闻的增长速度
growth unlike anything we’ve ever seen before.
这听起来令人十分震惊
This may sound impressive,
但是也有一些警示信号表示
but the warning signs are there that the cryptocurrency
这种加密货币很有可能面临暴跌
could be headed towards a massive fall.
首先
For one thing,
传统货币通常是由外物保值的 比如黄金
traditional currency is usually backed by something external in value, like gold.
而比特币价值是由投资者利益决定的
Bitcoin’s value is determined by investor interest,
因此对它的预测更加困难
which is much harder to predict.
其次 这种加密货币至今还没有得到大范围使用
And, so far, the cryptocurrency hasn’t reach widespread use, nor
在不久的将来很可能也不会
is it likely to in the near future.
至少目前来看 这使得这种数字货币
At least for now, this makes the digital currency
成为一种投资机遇 而不是交易产品
more of an investment opportunity than a transactional unit.
然而 比特币没有财务管理员
But Bitcoin doesn’t have a financial administrator, so
因此它的价值富有投机性且反复无常
its value is entirely speculative and extremely volatile.
若你投资了比特币 整体价值却下跌
If you own a piece and the whole value tanks,
你的份额变得分文不值
the share is essentially worthless,
所有投入都会流失
and all the money invested is gone.
很难想像 金融机构在那种情况下
It’s hard to imagine a financial institution being sympathetic in that
会表示同情
situation.
九月 摩根大通掌门人杰米·戴蒙直言不讳
JP Morgan boss, Jamie Dimon,put it bluntly in September,
宣称比特币是一个骗局 最终会崩溃
calling the digital currency a fraud that would ultimately blow up.
他说道 在委内瑞拉 朝鲜这样的国家中
He said, for countries like Venezuela or North Korea, or
或者在人们可以匿名转账的暗网中
the dark web where people can transfer money anonymously,
比特币也许有市场 但会受到限制
there might be a market for it, but it’s limited.
在其他方面 他称投资比特币是愚蠢的 危险的
Otherwise, he called it stupid and dangerous.
然而 不是所有的金融专家和投资者都如此谨慎
But not all fiscal experts and investors are wary.
很多对冲基金已决定将比特币添加到投资组合中
Many hedge funds have decided to include Bitcoin in their portfolios.
芝加哥商业交易所是世界上最大的期货期权交易市场
CME Group,the world’s largest futures exchange,
其打算在年底推出比特币期货交易合同
plans to launch a futures contract for Bitcoin by the end of the year.
一些房产中介甚至接受比特币付款
And some realtors are even accepting Bitcoin for property.
很可能 这就是数字货币
It’s possible that this is the start
新时代的开端
of a new age of digital currency.
假若比特币继续它历史性的增长 突然崩盘
But if Bitcoin continues its historic surge and pops,
那么加密货币很可能面临
it will likely be seen as a major,
重大挫折 甚至是致命打击
perhaps fatal, setback for cryptocurrencies.
那么 不仅许多投资者的
Not only will a lot of investors be
大量钱财会流失 而且
out of a lot of money, but
可持续数字货币的理念也可能从此土崩瓦解
the idea of a sustainable digital currency might be damaged for good.

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视频概述

比特币暴涨,是福是祸?

听录译者

收集自网络

翻译译者

孙迎宾

审核员

lw

视频来源

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NDWjJMcmNY

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