一个事件 两分钟 三个真相
1 Issue, 2 Minutes, 3 Truths to Share
1. What’s the story?
Today, Britain’s Prime Minister Teresa May is going to invoke article 50 of the EU Treaty.
That’s the formal legal mechanism by which the Brexit process begins.
For Britain the stakes are particularly high.
迄今为止 英国与欧盟在外交 政治 经济等领域的关系是最为重要的
The relationship with the E.U. is by far the most important diplomatic political economic relationship.
and walking away with a decent deal is top priority.
2. What have you heard?
What you might not have heard is
this two-year-period actually is going to be a lot shorter than that sounds.
It’s going to be delayed at the beginning by EU bureaucracy and elections in France and Germany.
最后 欧盟会员国需要同意该协议 这也会使脱欧延后
And it’s going to be delayed at the end by the need to agree this agreement in all the members states of the E.U.
That can take six months too.
所以 事实上应该是一年 而不是两年
So actually, we’re talking about one year, not two.
3. What to look out for?
The thing to look out for today is exactly what Teresa May says in her letter.
Specifically, people in Brussels are looking for some kind of acknowledgement on her part
that Britain does owe the E.U. something on leaving.
People in Brussels have been talking about a bill up to sixty billion Euros.
Some politicians in Britain, on the other hand,
have been saying that Britain should walk away without paying anything at all.
If she doesn’t at least acknowledge that,
then the negotiations are going to get off to a very rocky start.
People are very worried that Britain might not just get a bad deal,
it might end up with no deal at all.
如果英国没有与欧盟达成某种协议便脱欧 那么 很多事情都会发生
If it crashes out to the E.U. without any kind of agreement, well, various things could happen.
首先 如果英国不得不依靠世贸组织原则 贸易会出现问题
First of all, trade is going to be interrupted if Britain has to fall back on World Trade Organisation rules,
But there could be even more distructive consequences if Britain leaves without
any agreements on things like routes for flights or customs agreements
然后你便可以看到货物积压在多佛港 在盖特威克 飞机不允许起飞
then you could see lorries backing up at the Dover, flights not allowed to take off Gatwick
It could be very, very complex indeed.
So in spite of the assurances of some Conservative MPs that
no deal would be better than a bad deal.
It seems important to Britain that it walks away with at least some kind of agreement with the E.U.
on how this divorce is going to work.
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