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不可能的赌注 – 译学馆
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不可能的赌注

An Impossible Bet

我只是想要与你和其他99个人总共100个人下个赌注
This has nothing to do with physics, but I want to make a bet with
与物理无关
you and 99 other people: 100 in total.
你们排成一排 从你们的钱包中拿出一美元
You’ll all stand in a line, take a one dollar bill out of your pocket and write your position
并写上你们在队列中的的位置
in line on the bill.
然后我会把你们的钱收起来 把他们放到单独的房间
Then I’ll collect the bills, take them to a separate room, put each one into its own
分别放入100个一样的盒子然后随机的重新排列这些盒子
one of 100 identical boxes, and randomly rearrange the boxes.
这个赌博就是 你们每个人进入房间去找你的钞票
The game is this: each of you come into the room and try to find which box your bill is
但是每次只能进一个人 并且只能看其中一半的盒子
in – but you’re only allowed to come in one at a time, you’re only allowed to peek in
而且不能改变任何东西 不管是钞票还是盒子
half of the boxes, and you aren’t allowed to change anything about the boxes or move bills around.
如果你找到了你的 那么恭喜
If you find your own bill, great!
给我看一眼你的成果 然后把你的钞票留在盒子里
Show me that you’ve succeeded and then leave the bill in its box.
不管你是否找到了你的钞票 你必须依照不同路线离开
And regardless of whether or not you find your bill, you have to leave the room by a
你不能告诉别人你所看到的
different route so you can’t tell anyone else what you’ve seen, and the room is then reset
下一个人进来之前 房间的盒子会重新组合
before the next person comes in.
若是你们所有人都成功找到了自己的钞票 那你们就赢了
At the end, if all 100 of you have successfully found your own bills, you all win and I’ll
我还会给你们每人100美元 还有开局的那1美元
give each of you a hundred dollars plus the one you started with!
但是 若你们当中的任何一个没有找到自己的钞票
But if any one of you doesn’t find your bill…
你们的钱就都归我了
I keep all the dollars.
你们可以在进房间之前和其他玩家商量好对策
You are allowed to plan a strategy together with the other players before any of you come
但是进入房间之后就不能再交流了
into the room, but no communication afterwards.
问题来了 你应该赌吗
The question is this: should you take the bet?
总的来说 就是每个人可以看50个盒子
To recap, every person gets to look in half of the boxes, there’s no communication between
进入房间之后玩家之间不能交流并且只有所有人都找到之后才能算赢
players after they go into the room, and you only win if every single person finds their own bill.
赢了就是101美元输了就什么都没有
$101 dollar payout if you win, nothing if you lose.
花点时间想一想
Take a moment to think about it,
然后点击屏幕上的链接或者是在评论中做出你的选择
then click the links on screen or in the description to make your choice
然后找出正确答案
and find out what the correct answer is.

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概率游戏又来了 ฅ( ̳• ◡ • ̳)ฅ

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视频来源

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eivGlBKlK6M

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